Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.033581 0.039074 0.045115 0.052246 0.060422 0.069495 0.080317
2025-09-21 0.024698 0.031682 0.040075 0.050867 0.064338 0.080558 0.101524
2025-09-28 0.019161 0.026774 0.036654 0.050333 0.068689 0.092366 0.125099
2025-10-05 0.016419 0.024721 0.036237 0.053227 0.077477 0.110627 0.159113
2025-10-12 0.014080 0.022681 0.035347 0.055125 0.084938 0.127828 0.193719
2025-10-19 0.011477 0.019705 0.032524 0.053629 0.087091 0.137546 0.218624
2025-10-26 0.009671 0.017607 0.030627 0.053122 0.090455 0.149173 0.247395
2025-11-02 0.008040 0.015482 0.028305 0.051495 0.091669 0.157395 0.271522
2025-11-09 0.006789 0.013785 0.026411 0.050238 0.093199 0.166094 0.297098
2025-11-16 0.005934 0.012660 0.025329 0.050197 0.096711 0.178308 0.329609
2025-11-23 0.005064 0.011343 0.023682 0.048853 0.097647 0.186054 0.355012
2025-11-30 0.004716 0.011027 0.023895 0.051045 0.105333 0.206478 0.404879
2025-12-07 0.004173 0.010217 0.023034 0.051059 0.108963 0.220061 0.444008
2025-12-14 0.003584 0.009195 0.021583 0.049666 0.109636 0.228141 0.473627
2025-12-21 0.003148 0.008448 0.020604 0.049122 0.111951 0.239594 0.510861
2025-12-28 0.003004 0.008383 0.021133 0.051939 0.121649 0.266664 0.581632
2026-01-04 0.002807 0.008147 0.021230 0.053788 0.129451 0.290590 0.648206
2026-01-11 0.002440 0.007392 0.019978 0.052323 0.129701 0.298748 0.682762
2026-01-18 0.002172 0.006857 0.019179 0.051826 0.132077 0.311631 0.728478
2026-01-25 0.001887 0.006216 0.018008 0.050235 0.131682 0.318370 0.761417
2026-02-01 0.001656 0.005682 0.017035 0.049007 0.131992 0.326673 0.798519
2026-02-08 0.001499 0.005347 0.016544 0.048967 0.135213 0.341900 0.852595
2026-02-15 0.001316 0.004886 0.015630 0.047653 0.135046 0.349166 0.888898